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I bond: October or November?by plusbeauxjours

Not affiliated with the U.S. Treasury, TreasuryDirect or BLS.

I bonds: buy in October or wait for Nov 1?

See which comes out ahead for your amount, and the fixed rate that would make waiting worth it.

Official 4.26% until Oct 31 ·Forecast Nov 1 inflation part ≈ 1.63% ·Sept CPI out Oct 14 ·Checked .

TreasuryDirect lets each person buy up to $10,000 of electronic I bonds per calendar year.

How long will you keep it?

Cashing before 5 years costs the last 3 months of interest. You can't cash in before 12 months.

New fixed rate on Nov 1 (unknown) Assumption

Treasury sets it. There's no formula. Past 10: 0.90, 0.90, 1.10, 1.20, 1.30, 1.30, 0.90, 0.40, 0.00, 0.00.

What's the fixed rate?

The part of the rate that stays the same for the bond's whole 30-year life. Treasury sets it for bonds bought in the next 6 months. There is no published formula.

Nov 1 inflation rate Forecast

Set by a formula from September's CPI, published Wed, Oct 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Until then, pick how September might go.

What's the inflation rate (semiannual)?

The 6-month change in consumer prices, rounded to 0.01%. The Nov 1 rate uses September vs March CPI. It changes every 6 months for every I bond.

Inflation after April 2027 (same as Nov 2026)Assumption
Inflation rate for every announcement after April 2027

Used for every 6-month rate change after that, for both bonds. Nobody knows it yet.

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Who comes out ahead

Buying by Fri, Oct 30 comes out about $48 ahead on Nov 1, 2031, unless Treasury raises the fixed rate to 0.97% or more on Nov 1.

Same $10,000, both valued on Nov 1, 2031
Oct 2026Buy by Oct 30Nov 2026Wait for November
Fixed rate for 30 years0.90%Official0.90%Assumption
First 6 months' rate4.26%OfficialOct 2026 to Mar 20274.17%ForecastNov 2026 to Apr 2027
Then4.17%ForecastNov 2026 inflation from Apr 1, 20274.17%AssumptionMay 2027 inflation from May 1, 2027
Earliest cash-inOct 1, 2027Nov 1, 2027
No-penalty dateOct 1, 2031Nov 1, 2031
Value on Nov 1, 2031$12,336.00Projection$12,288.00Projection
Difference+$48.00 for October
Final maturityOct 1, 2056Nov 1, 2056

Values before 5 years already subtract 3 months' interest, like TreasuryDirect shows.

What you can't know yet

The new fixed rate is set by Treasury and announced around Nov 1. That's after the last October purchase day (Fri, Oct 30). If Treasury publishes it earlier, this page switches to the official numbers.

September inflation: published Wed, Oct 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Oct 202630

The October deadline

To get an October issue date, TreasuryDirect must receive your funds by midnight ET on the purchase date. Oct 31 is a Saturday, so the last business day is Fri, Oct 30. End-of-month purchases can slip into November, so don't wait for the last day.

TreasuryDirect FAQ on issue dates (opens in a new tab)

Estimate for education. Future inflation and the November fixed rate are assumptions. Values follow TreasuryDirect's published method (31 CFR 359) and match its calculator to the cent for past dates. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Treasury or TreasuryDirect.

How to use it

Enter how much you'd put into I bonds and how long you expect to keep them. The tool compares two bonds bought with the same money: one issued in October 2026 and one issued in November 2026. It values both on the same calendar date, so the comparison is fair, and it subtracts the 3-month penalty when that date is less than 5 years in.

Two numbers aren't known yet: the new fixed rate Treasury will set for November bonds, and September's inflation. Pick what you want to assume for each. The tool then shows which bond comes out ahead, by how much, and the break-even fixed rate: the lowest new fixed rate at which waiting would pay off.

Why the fixed rate decides it

An I bond's rate has two parts. The fixed rate is set when you buy and stays the same for 30 years. The inflation rate changes every 6 months for every I bond, old and new. So the inflation part mostly washes out between an October bond and a November bond: each gets the same announcements, just one month apart.

What doesn't wash out is the fixed rate. An October bond keeps 0.90% for 30 years. A November bond gets whatever Treasury announces for November, and there is no published formula for it. If it stays at 0.90%, buying in October comes out slightly ahead because October's first 6 months earn today's 4.26%. If Treasury raises it enough, waiting wins, and the longer you hold, the less of a raise it takes.

The catch: the new fixed rate is announced around Nov 1, after the last October buying day. This tool can't tell you what Treasury will do, and it doesn't guess. It tells you the line, so you can decide how you feel about the odds.

The October deadline

Your bond's issue date is the first day of the month TreasuryDirect receives your money. Funds must arrive before midnight Eastern time. Oct 31, 2026 is a Saturday, so the last business day is Fri, Oct 30. TreasuryDirect warns that purchases at the end of the month may get the next month's issue date, so aim earlier than the last day. An October bond earns interest for all of October, even if you buy it on the 30th.

How the Nov 1 rate is set

The inflation part comes from a formula in Treasury's rules (31 CFR 359.11): the change in CPI-U, not seasonally adjusted, from March to September 2026, rounded to 0.01%. March was 330.213. The latest index, August, is 334.980, already 1.44% above March. In a typical September (the median change from 2014 to 2025), the rate would be about 1.63%, close to today's 1.67%. Past Septembers range from 1.29% (like 2015) to 1.98% (like 2017). A September index of 335.712 or more keeps it at 1.67%.

The composite rate is then fixed + 2 × inflation + fixed × inflation, rounded to 0.01%. Today's 4.26% is 0.90% fixed and 1.67% inflation. BLS publishes September's CPI on Wed, Oct 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET; after that this page shows the inflation part calculated from BLS data instead of a forecast. See every formula and the rounding rules.

Example: $10,000, fixed rate unchanged

With $10,000.00, the Nov 1 inflation part at 1.63% and the new fixed rate at 0.90%, here is each bond's value on the same date, and the fixed rate at which waiting would have caught up.

Buy by Oct 30 vs wait for November, $10,000.00
HoldBuy by Oct 30WaitWaiting wins from
1 yearNov 1, 2027$10,352.00+$40.00 ahead$10,312.001.36%
2 yearsNov 1, 2028$10,788.00+$40.00 ahead$10,748.001.08%
5 yearsNov 1, 2031$12,336.00+$48.00 ahead$12,288.000.97%
10 yearsNov 1, 2036$15,164.00+$60.00 ahead$15,104.000.93%
30 yearsOct 1, 2056$34,504.00+$140.00 ahead$34,364.000.92%

These are estimates. Every later rate uses the same inflation assumption, and the values follow TreasuryDirect's published method to the cent. Taxes aren't included: I bond interest is subject to federal income tax but not state or local income tax.

Already own an I bond? See exactly what it's worth, with the 3-month penalty, the way TreasuryDirect calculates it. To buy, use TreasuryDirect (opens in a new tab).

Updated . Rates since 1998: 57 announcements.

Questions

What is the I bond rate right now?

4.26% (0.90% fixed + 1.67% semiannual inflation) for I bonds issued May 1 – Oct 31, 2026.

When is the November 2026 I bond rate announced?

Rates are set for Nov 1. Nov 1, 2026 is a Sunday, and Treasury's rule says a closed-day announcement moves to the next business day while rates still apply from Nov 1. Last year's came out Mon, Nov 3, 2025.

How is the November rate calculated?

Inflation part = change in CPI-U (not seasonally adjusted) from March to September 2026, rounded to 0.01%. Composite = fixed + 2×inflation + fixed×inflation, rounded to 0.01%. Sept CPI is published Oct 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

What's the last day to buy I bonds in October 2026?

The issue date is the month TreasuryDirect receives your funds (before midnight ET). Oct 31 is a Saturday, so the last business day is Fri, Oct 30, and end-of-month purchases can slip into November.

Should I wait until November to buy I bonds?

It depends on the new fixed rate, which is unknown until it's announced. With the fixed rate unchanged at 0.90%, buying in October comes out slightly ahead; waiting wins only above the break-even shown in the tool (about 0.97% for a 5-year hold of $10,000).

Can I cash in an I bond early?

Not before 12 months. Before 5 years you lose the last 3 months of interest.

How much can I buy?

$10,000 in electronic I bonds per person per calendar year in TreasuryDirect, plus gifts that count toward the recipient's limit. Paper I bonds ended Jan 1, 2025.

Are I bonds taxed?

Federal income tax yes, state and local no. You can report yearly or when you cash in.

Sources

Every number comes from TreasuryDirect, the Code of Federal Regulations or BLS. Last checked . How we calculate.

  1. TreasuryDirect: I bonds (opens in a new tab)

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    Primary source
  2. TreasuryDirect: I bonds interest rates (opens in a new tab)

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  3. TreasuryDirect: I bond rate chart (PDF) (opens in a new tab)

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  7. TreasuryDirect: Buy a savings bond (opens in a new tab)

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  9. TreasuryDirect: Cash in a savings bond (opens in a new tab)

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  11. TreasuryDirect: Savings Bond Calculator (opens in a new tab)

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